by Bryan
The stock market is notoriously unpredictable, but that doesn’t mean that its unpredictability isn’t predictable.
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by Bryan
The last public update on COVES was one of promise if the proper vehicle could be determined. Where are we at with the concept in 2025, and what other ideas can be spun off of it?
by Bryan
The first in a series of posts catching up on topics and concepts from the Before Times. Has DeFi lived up to the promise, has it crashed and burned, or does it operate in some sort of fuzzy middle ground of unknowability?
by Bryan
Well, we’re one year in on our Twitter-based virtual trading of our COVES and Synth COVES strategies. Our six-month check-in showed a lot of promise, but how did the strategy fare during the turbulence since April? More importantly, how do we make COVES, you know, investable given its heavy reliance on VIX positioning?
by Bryan
The investment landscape for the average retail investor is riddled with Catch-22s: a bull market will provide excess capital to invest, but it’s likely closer to the peak than the trough, while a bear market is the perfect time to buy cheap, but that capital is tied up in making ends meet. There are products that buck this trend, but most retail investors don’t have the accreditation to access them. Income inequality is widening between the haves and have-nots, discouraging the have-nots from ever entering one of the best avenues to correct the imbalance. How do you succeed when the table is tilted against you? Find the weak points in the table and exploit them until the table is level.
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by Bryan
“Buy Low, Sell High.” It’s essentially the slogan of the market at this point and is the first thing investors point to when uncertainty creeps in. However, the concept of BLSH can also apply to information about the market as well, and if you’re hearing about something through the general public, chances are it’s too late to act upon it. The way to beat this is boring and unsexy, but is ultimately superior.
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by Bryan
After a half-year of tracking its performance via daily updates on Twitter, how is COVES faring? What works? What doesn’t? What mistakes were made? And, most importantly, does COVES deserve to be one of the first smart token investment strategies?
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by Bryan
The Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings (CAPE) ratio is a Nobel Prize-winning reflection of long-term over- and under-valuation of a market and its effect on future returns that is applicable to a wide swath of country equity markets. While it is robust and valuable, it fails when applied to regimes where CAPE is being held at its level by outside forces such as war, sanctions, and other applied artificial barriers to market movement.
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